by Last week was quite literally the coldest betting Saturday of my life, as I went 3-7 and wanted to puke. But everyone loves a great comeback story so here I am to tell you that I’m going 5-0 and am more locked in than Brian Dawkins coming out of the tunnel. Let’s have a day.
North Carolina State @ Virginia Over 47.5
A Brennan Armstrong revenge game. The Wolfpack offense has been nothing to brag about so far, but UVA is a broken program that can’t keep up with any above average opponent. NC State puts up 35+ alone and the over sails into the Charlottesville, VA night.
Oregon State at Washington State ML
This is a great matchup for Wazu, especially on the defensive side of the ball. The Cougars have been rock solid against the run, allowing just 95 YPG, and even held that deadly Wisconsin RB duo of Chez Mellusi and Braelon Allen to just 70 yards on the ground in Week 2. The Beavs like to feed Damien Martinez the ball, but they’ll be forced to be two-dimensional and turn to DJ U’s arm to win the game on Saturday. While I’m rooting for the guy this season, DJ struggled against a 2-2 SDSU team last week, going 14/30 with a TD and 2 INT. That’s concerning.
Cam Ward is one of the most slept on quarterbacks in the entire country and I think he will lead this offense to put at least 28 points on the board. That’s enough to beat a tough Oregon State team in your backyard. Give me Cougs ML in an underrated Pac-12 slugfest.
Iowa @ Penn State -14.5
It’s a whiteout and the most talented and complete Penn State team since their Big 10 title season in 2016. My confidence in those two things alone make me drool over this bet. James Franklin and the Nittany Lions get a statement win on primetime television.
Ole Miss at Alabama Over 55.5
The majority of the public and two of my colleagues are against me on this one, which makes me feel even better about it. While I am a little wary about Bama playing conservative offense and relying on a heavy rushing attack, I think Lane Kiffin throws the kitchen sink at this Tide defense and forces their offense to play in a shootout. With RB Quinshon Judkins banged up, Ole Miss will turn to Jaxson Dart, who has looked awfully sharp early on, to air it out a lot. If that’s the case, it’s hard to rely on Milroe to play keep up throwing the ball, but this Ole Miss secondary is more vulnerable than the one we saw two weeks ago when the Tide hosted Texas. Both defenses get exploited and worn out late, and the over hits in the final quarter.
Texas (TT Over 31.5) at Baylor
I’m going to the Longhorn state with my lock of the week. I think a lot of people are overreacting to Texas’ poor performance vs Wyoming last week with it being one of those flat spots for a team against an inferior opponent a week after earning a monumental win.
Baylor has looked pretty damn bad and this doesn’t look like a typical Dave Aranda defense. Also, Texas has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games. Ewers and this offense get back into a groove and light up the scoreboard tomorrow night in Waco. Hook ’em.
